New PPP poll shows Democratic base lukewarm to Clinton
by Gaius Publius
I haven't seen this very widely reported, so I'll take it on here. This is a Warren story, a Clinton story, and a "What are we gonna do?" story.
The Warren part of the story is clear and clean. According to Politico, a group of people who are clearly Not Ready For Hillary have commissioned a poll by the highly respected firm PPP to find out just how vulnerable Hillary Clinton is. What's the Warren part? Politico wants us to know that the group commissioned the poll because, among other reasons, they want her hat in the ring. Politico spills much digital ink on this aspect, as you'll see below. Decide for yourself how much that matters.
It's the Clinton part of the story I find interesting though. Note what the pollsters found (and note also the difference between Politico's headline below, and mine above). Politico (my emphasis):
Elizabeth Warren backers fund poll stoking Hillary Clinton doubts
A group of major liberal donors who want Elizabeth Warren to run for
president have paid for a poll intended to show that Hillary Clinton
does not excite the Democratic base and would be vulnerable in a 2016
general election.
The automated poll
of nearly 900 registered voters, conducted last week by Public Policy
Polling, found that 48 percent of respondents had an unfavorable opinion
of Clinton, compared to 43 percent who viewed the former secretary of
State favorably.
While Clinton — the prospective favorite for the Democratic presidential nomination should she enter the race
— holds leads over every major GOP candidate tested in the poll, she
doesn’t break 50 percent against any, and some are well within striking
distance. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker comes closest, with Clinton
leading him by a margin of 45 percent to 42 percent (with 14 percent not
sure who they’d vote for) – within the survey’s margin of error of plus
or minus 3.3 percent. ...
The piece goes on to detail the inside-baseball aspect of the funding of the poll. Read if you like, but my summary above of the "Warren part" covers their point. If you do read, though, pay attention to the slight "these donors have a preference" tone in the article. Not to put too fine a point on it, Politico has a preference also — Warren is not an insider candidate, and Politico is as much an insider as Joe Scarborough and Chris Matthews — and as Hillary Clinton. And what's the first rule of insiders? (Click and read how insiders love them their insiders.)
Back to the "Clinton part" of the article:
Several questions in the poll cast Warren as a champion for the
working and middle class, while others highlighted Clinton’s support for
the invasions of Iraq and Libya, and suggested she is in Wall Street’s pocket.
One
question – which found 49 percent of voters more likely to support a
presidential candidate “who wanted to bring the big banks under more
control” – began by noting that Warren “has said that special interests
like Wall Street have rigged the system in their favor.”
Another –
which found 57 percent of respondents less likely to support a
candidate “who doesn’t want to hold Wall Street accountable for its
financial speculation” – begins by pointing out that Clinton has been
paid as much as $200,000 per speech
from big banks. And, it asserts, she “has failed to call for
accountability by banks for speculation which led to the financial
collapse in 2008.” ...
David Brock, founder of Media Matters, author of Blinded By the Right (a terrific book, by the way), and a "Clinton ally," disputes the poll's conclusions (of course; that's his job) and points to several offsetting Clintonian positions. Decide for yourself about whether those points matter.
For those who, like Politico, find some of the poll questions leading, consider that everything mentioned by the pollsters — for example, "Clinton has been
paid as much as $200,000 per speech
from big banks" — will be mentioned again and again during any political campaign featuring Ms. Clinton.
Again, decide for yourself what you think this adds to. For those who commissioned the poll, this could add to the prospect of insider bank-friendly Democrats nominating a third insider bank-friendly Democrat — Hillary Clinton — and losing the White House to the "hated" Republicans ... all on their own and with no help from progressives. If Clinton really is vulnerable, you'd think actual party-first Democrats might care.
The third part of this story, which I called the "What are we gonna do?" part, is unaddressed in the article, but hanging in the open like a full load of bedroom sheets on a neighbor's clothes line. There clearly is a group, including some big Democratic donors, who are very Not Ready for Hillary, so not-ready that they're working hard to pull Elizabeth Warren into the race.
Consider:
The argument against Clinton, is on principle (i.e., "It's immoral, almost criminal, what mainstream Democrats are doing"), not just on practical politics ("Could Clinton actually lose?").
If Warren doesn't enter the race, many of these people are prepared to stand aside, to vote by not voting, to rebel against the coming blackmail alongside the disenchanted and rebellious Democratic voters the poll was commissioned to sample.
Now pretend you're one of them — if my test-of-the-waters at Netroots Nation is any guide, you may well be one of them, even if you're not ready to tell your friends quite yet. So ask yourself ... "If Elizabeth Warren doesn't enter the race, what are we gonna do?"
It's a problem, isn't it? If eight more years of enabling rule by bankers, rule by predators, rule by billionaires, eight more years of unprosecuted looting by the virtual "40 families," is a prospect you can no longer stomach, and if Elizabeth Warren is not a choice ... what are we gonna do?
The time to think about that might be soon, right? Just a thought.
GP
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