I don't know what happened in December and January. Maybe people were just feeling good because it was the holiday season. Or it could have been noise caused by a variety of different factors. In any case, it seems to righted itself again and the Democrats are looking good for November. The picture above is the 538 polling average.
Democrats hold a 16-point lead over Republicans on a generic congressional ballot, according to a new poll from CNN.
The poll conducted by SSRS finds 54 percent of registered voters would support a Democrat in their congressional district, compared with 38 percent who say they would favor a Republican candidate.
In a CNN poll taken last month, Democrats held just a 5-point lead over Republicans on a generic congressional ballot.
The CNN poll is at the high end when it comes to the Democratic advantage in the generic ballot.
A Marist poll released this month found Democrats with a seven-point lead, while a Harvard/Harris Poll survey released last week found them with a five-point lead. A Quinnipiac poll released last week also found Democrats with a 15-point lead.
In another good sign for Democrats hoping to regain the House in this fall's midterm elections, the CNN poll finds that a majority of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting.