Watch your step Trumpie. That gender gap is a chasm.
Harry Enten at CNN takes a look:
If President Donald Trump loses in 2020, it will be at the hands of women...
An examination of recent CNN polls reveal that we could be looking at a record gender gap in the 2020 presidential election. For simplicity's sake, I'm comparing Former Vice President Joe Biden (the leader in the Democratic primary polls) to Trump. In general election matchups against all the leading Democratic candidates, a greater than 25-point gender gap existed.
Biden has held a 60% to 36% lead over Trump among women in an average of our last two (October and December) CNN/SSRS polls. The same polling put Trump up 52% to 42% among men voters. When you combine Biden's 24-point lead among women and Trump's 10 point lead among men, this makes for a 34-point gender gap.
Gender gaps have been getting larger in recent years. From 1952 to about 1980, there really wasn't a gender gap in presidential elections. So this isn't just about Trump.
Still, this 34-point gender gap would be a significant increase from what we saw in 2016. In that election, the gender gap was 25 points. This, itself, was a record gender gap for any presidential election dating back to 1952. In fact, no presidential election had previously featured a gender gap of even greater than 20 points.
The gender gap in 2018 was also larger than in any previous midterm.
Why is this happening? Every day of Trump is turning more and more women Democratic. And I would venture to guess that this is not just because of Trump himself. It's the servile, sycophantic boot-licking of the GOP establishment and the deplorable behavior of his followers. They are all a bunch of cowards and bullies.
The Democratic margin among women is now 24 points, 10 points more than it was in 2016. The Republican margin among men remains unchanged at about 10 points. Non-white women support the Democrat by a whopping 50 point margin and white women with a college degree by 28.
The big shift however, comes from white women without a college degree. They have shifted allegiance for Trump from 23 points to just 4 --- a 19 point difference.
The white non-college men still love him, of course. But with this shift among the women the gender gap among whites without a college degree is now 39 points
He observes that in order to win, Trump will either have to find away to win back some women or expand his base among men. And I'd say he's probably right about this:
Knowing Trump loves a base first strategy, it wouldn't be surprising if he chooses the latter and the gender gap ends up even larger than being polled right now.
Get ready for more war criminals on the campaign trail, I guess.
Honestly, I don't know what he could do to win back women who voted for him before. The reason he's lost them is because they can now see what he is.
Once you've seen it you can't unsee it. It's horrible.
We are still running the Happy Hollandaise end-of-year fundraiser. If you would like to support this kind of independent media as we cover what is going to one doozy of a political year, you can do so below.
And thank you so much for reading and supporting my work all these years. I am truly grateful. --- d