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Friday, October 31, 2014

Happy Halloween everyone

by digby

It always seems like the President really enjoys these Halloween fests at the White House. I can understand why.  Kids in costumes are a lot of fun.  And I would imagine the president needs a little innocent distraction from time to time.

Meanwhile, I hear that in various places around the country the fundamentalists have managed to ruin Halloween for a whole lot of kids. How sad. And apparently it's been attacked by people upset at the idea of giving candy to kids as well, which is also daft.  I'm big on healthy eating for kids (as is Michelle Obama) but, like her, I think Halloween is the time for such treats!

Ah well, I eagerly await the little kids in my neighborhood tonight. When I asked my little friend Stella across the street what she was going as for Halloween she told me Taylor Swift.  I asked her best friend Molly and she said "a chicken." You've gotta love that.

Update: Be sure to check out John Amato's TOP 50 horror movies of all time.

Big Media Companies, “What are they afraid of?” 

By Spocko

For Halloween I'm reminded of a book reading I attended in San Francisco where I asked Matt Taibbi what companies like Goldman Sachs were afraid of. His answer was, "Not journalists!" then he laughed. Next he said, "They are worried about a few left over SEC regulations that they haven't bought off yet."

Yesterday I read that Matt Taibbi has left First Look Media before the launch of the Racket, the digital magazine he was hired to create seven months ago. The Intercept did a story about what they say happened.  Of course I'm waiting for the disgraced Fox News media critic Howard Kurtz to comment on this so I can hear from the other side. I'll bet "the truth lies somewhere in the middle" and he will "leave it there."

As I read the Intercept story I wondered if people at various companies that were to be the subject of the Racket are breathing a sigh of relief. Are they laughing? It appears that Taibbi leaving was a combination of a personality misfit with "the corporate form" and the need of Silicon Valley folks to always be thinking about ROI.

The damage control people at these companies might want to hold off on the champagne popping. Taibbi will find an outlet to write for and the Racket isn't dead, but it has serious labor pains.  These things happen. Remember the News Corp iPad Online venture The Daily?  Murdoch dropped $60 million on it and it was shuttered after two years.

If ROI is in Omid's Silicon Valley start-up DNA he should have thought outside the box (or law) like Rupert Murdoch. He could have used his knowledge of the upcoming stories on companies to short their stock before the story dropped. Hmmm, would that be illegal? Not if he told his congressperson about it and he makes a trade on the info. It's good to have happy congress people as your allies.

If only Omid understood that to mold national attitudes, topple dynasties and pressure politicians you have to lose lots of money for a long, long time. If you want to have your parent corporate entity make money, use other sub-entities known to create revenue like cartoon shows, test prep companies or a businesses that sells stuff on-line. But Murdoch's goals aren't the goals of everyone who gets into the media business.

The Public Interest, RIP

Expecting the media to "serve the public interest, convenience and necessity" is out. The marketplace rules are in. The TV and radio spectrum, as well as the Internet we created, aren't considered under the trusteeship model anymore because the lobbyists argued a broadcaster's commercial success would be indicative of the public's satisfaction with what they are delivering.

Under that model First Look Media should be using their news reporting and constitutionally granted 1st Amendment power to generate revenue for shareholders, just like Roone Arledge taught ABC and the rest of the networks to do. Suddenly news divisions weren't a cost center anymore, but a profit center. Everyone loves profit generators, and by everyone I mean Wall Street and corp execs whose bonuses are tied to revenue or stock price.

If you look at what the big media companies are afraid of it hasn't been getting busted for failing to serve the public interest for decades. They know they aren't going to lose an FCC license. They might get a fine, but it's just a Cost of Doing Business in the short term and something the lobbyists will fix in the long term.

FTC problems might cramp their style when it comes to ad revenue, so they pay attention to that.  SEC regs could be a problem, if anyone at the SEC actually started prosecuting people. It's hard to believe that the SEC would go after someone who buys their pixels by the barrel and hires lawyers by the trainload, but maybe someone at the SEC will notice some problems they need to be addressed.

What makes the parent companies nervous is if the people working in the news divisions start thinking they have to actually follow left over rules and regulations. Or that they are journalists who have to 'serve the public interest' vs. make money on their specific programming.  Murdoch can explain to the media entities parts of the bigger companies that a parent company loosing 100's of millions on something like the New York Post is a smart business move because of his big picture. Because of that, they don't worry about generating standalone revenue.

They are also afraid that the big investors might think the parent company doesn't have their journalists and news divisions under control. If the parent company gets a whiff that someone in the media group is trying to dig too hard or isn't playing ball, they will get a Arthur Jensen to Howard Beale call where it is explained how the world really works.

For example, if your biggest sponsor makes cars, you really shouldn't be doing stories that make them look bad, even if the cars kill people. But sometimes you can't ignore the truth, so you wait for an excuse like a settlement lawsuit where someone else makes the case. "Hey I wasn't the one calling them "killer cars" I'm just reading the court transcript!"

Luckily during that period of reporting the hard truth, before the pull back into the quest for profit, some sunlight can shine through the cracks. There are still good people in the media who believe in a better "Big Picture" than Murdoch's. It takes courage and support from others who also see the problems and want to help. Other times journalists "embedded" in the MSM need an excuse to do a good job in the face of the howls for quarterly profits or fear of offending advertisers.

After talking to Taibbi I started asking a similar question of people who have been covering corporate corruption and personal mendacious acts that hurt Americans. "What are they afraid of, and how can we make those fears come true?"

I'm sorry for these media labor pains, but I look forward to future sunlight from Taibbi, First Look Media and the Racket, because we all know what sunlight does to vampire(squid)s.

Happy Halloween!
Working us into an early grave

by digby

This is an excellent piece by Esther Kaplan about the effects of our new American workplace hich is looking more and more like the workplace of old --- really old. Like "before there were labor laws" old. She tells a number of individual stories but this gets to the underlying theme:

American workers do work longer hours than we did a generation ago, according to some analyses, and hundreds more per year than our counterparts in France or Germany—the equivalent of six to eight extra weeks a year. We top the Eurozone nations in productivity by 18 percentage points. “Every month the BLS [Bureau of Labor Statistics] releases its worker-productivity numbers, which measure output per labor hour worked,” says Celeste Monforton, a former Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) staffer. Montforton, now at the George Washington University School of Public Health, points out that the numbers “go up every month. And that’s because businesses are not hiring new workers; they’re just expecting the old workers to work more, and spitting them out after they get injured.” Some of these gains come from the adoption of new technologies, but others just come from pushing workers harder.

A 2013 survey of its own union reps by the United Steelworkers, which represents such blue-collar industries as oil and steel, found that production pressures, the increased pace of work and increased workloads topped workplace health concerns—outstripping more obvious risks such as poorly maintained equipment. When the reps were asked to give an example of a health or safety problem that had gotten worse over the past year, understaffing led the list. The jobless recovery, in other words, is sustained in part by aggressively overworking those with jobs.

I think this is a trend that's been around a while that's accelerated in the past few years. I recall in the early 2000s during that first wave of layoffs after the dot com bubble burst that companies I consulted for just pushed the workload of the laid off people onto the survivors and refused to hire anyone when profits rebounded. People just worked more, took less vacation and company culture changed in a dozen different ways.

Like this:

One of the subtle effects of having such a long period of high unemployment is the way it infuses this idea into the bloodstream of the workforce that you have to work beyond your agreed-upon hours. People will do whatever they have to do to keep their jobs in a bad economy. And it's going to take a long period of low unemployment to convince people that they have rights in the workplace again.

This is what that lovely fellow Andrew Mellon meant when he said at the outset of the Depression that having a great big crash would be good for the nation and

...purge the rottenness out of the system. High costs of living and high living will come down. People will work harder, live a more moral life. Values will be adjusted, and enterprising people will pick up from less competent people.
See? It's all good. For everyone but the worker. But then he'll be very busy so he won't really notice. Busy working.

A Cupp full of nonsense

by digby

S.E. Cupp is on a tear. She's offended that editor of the Nation Richard Kim tweeted that nurse Kaci Hickock a badass and a political prisoner. She says this is so absurd he might as well have been speaking in tongues. Or something. Because she isn't a badass, she's a very disobedient little subject who refuses to blindly obey cretinous politicians who are acting like we live in the 14th century. Whatever. Fear is their name and panic's their game ...

She explains why this is wrong:

[P]olitical prisoners are imprisoned for their political beliefs. She is being (unsuccessfully) quarantined because she may have a deadly infectious disease. A political prisoner is a real thing. It’s serious. Think North Korea or Tibet. Not Maine.

Equating Hickox to a political prisoner is like calling Paris Hilton a POW because of that one time she was placed under house arrest for drunk driving and that’s sort of like the war on drugs or something.

Hookay. Except drunk driving is a crime. Going to West Africa to treat Ebola, unless things have changed in the last couple of hours, is not. She has no symptoms. Epidemiologists know for a fact that she's not contagious if she's not symptomatic. Therefore, this quarantine is bullshit on a scientific level and they're doing it to appease pants-wetters who would burn her at the stake if given half an excuse.

Moreover, political prisoners are imprisoned because of their beliefs, period, and especially so when it's done to people who are critical of the government's behavior. Hickox's belief is that we should follow the scientific protocols instead of letting Tea bagging morons and blustering misogynists make them up for political gain and she challenged that. Considering the commentary we've seen in recent days from Cupp's right wing cohorts about jailing her (and presumably anyone else who refuses to comply with nonsensical orders designed to appease a bunch of panic artists for no good reason) she certainly qualifies as political at this point.

But for some reason Cupp also seems very concerned about the state of liberalism which she goes on about for more than half the screed:

I’m sure Kim is a smart man. I bet he knows many words. Why he chose these specific ones speaks to the dire straits of the liberal movement’s current political status. It’s a few days before midterm elections, Republicans are poised to take the Senate, Democrats are running away from President Obama’s record like it’s, well, Ebola, and all the usual lefty tactics are sinking with a thud.

A Democratic House candidate in New York named Martha Robertson was booed during a debate in which she tried to accuse her opponent of being a part of the “war on women.” Loud groans were audible.

In New Hampshire, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen was booed for interrupting her opponent during a debate to make a snarky comment about the Koch Brothers.

In Massachusetts, the Boston Globe endorsed the Republican candidate for Governor for the first time in 20 years.

And in Colorado, Sen. Mark Udall has run a campaign so narrowly focused on women’s issues, his Republican opponent Cory Gardner is up a whopping 21 points among men. And for all of Udall’s efforts, he is only 6 points ahead among women. He has been nicknamed “Mark Uterus” on the campaign trail.

And that’s just the bad news in blue states. Over in Kentucky the Democrats’ candidate for Senate won’t admit she voted for the President and current leader of her party. In Texas the Democratic gubernatorial candidate ran an attack ad highlighting her opponent’s disability.

The left is not well.

Mr. Kim’s unhinged tweet is a perfect encapsulation of the desperate unraveling of a once pretty together group of people who managed to win not one but two Presidential elections with a guy who had no experience the first time and a pretty questionable record the second time.

This is a fairly commonplace mode of thought among members of both parties when they win an election. There will be a "we have engineered a total victory for all time" celebration on Fox Tuesday night and on through the lame duck if it goes as predicted. They will pat each other on the back and sing and dance on the grave of liberalism for weeks. And frankly, if the shoe were on the other foot, the liberals would do the same thing.

And it's pretty much always wrong. No, liberalism is not dead if the Republicans win seats in a midterm of the 6th year of a Democratic presidency. It would be a huge upset if they didn't. And no, it will not spell the final fiery demise of the Tea Party if Hillary Clinton wins the presidency and the Democrats take back one or both Houses in two years. These are permanent factions in American politics and power shifts between them. To say that any single election "proves" the other side is finished is just plain dumb.

Dumb like this:

[D]esperate times call for desperate measures. And so the editor of the left’s flagship magazine has decided to make this nurse the next Gandhi, the next Vaclav Havel, the next Nelson Mandela.

If it weren’t so offensive, it would just be funny. And kind of sad. But at the very least, it finally answers the age-old question: What’s the dumbest metaphor ever?

Uhm, it wasn't a metaphor.


The other endless war to destroy the planet

by digby

Golly, who could have guessed that an energy lobbyist is a dishonest piece of offal?

If the oil and gas industry wants to prevent its opponents from slowing its efforts to drill in more places, it must be prepared to employ tactics like digging up embarrassing tidbits about environmentalists and liberal celebrities, a veteran Washington political consultant told a room full of industry executives in a speech that was secretly recorded.

The blunt advice from the consultant, Richard Berman, the founder and chief executive of the Washington-based Berman & Company consulting firm, came as Mr. Berman solicited up to $3 million from oil and gas industry executives to finance an advertising and public relations campaign called Big Green Radicals.

The company executives, Mr. Berman said in his speech, must be willing to exploit emotions like fear, greed and anger and turn them against the environmental groups. And major corporations secretly financing such a campaign should not worry about offending the general public because “you can either win ugly or lose pretty,” he said.

He went on to call it "an endless war" that needed to be paid for.

But he went too far, even for some in this crowd:

What Mr. Berman did not know — and what could now complicate his task of marginalizing environmental groups that want to impose limits on fracking — is that one of the energy industry executives recorded his remarks and was offended by them.

“That you have to play dirty to win,” said the executive, who provided a copy of the recording and the meeting agenda to The New York Times under the condition that his identity not be revealed. “It just left a bad taste in my mouth.”

I doubt this will stop him. Unless the energy executive is able to persuade his friends that this is the wrong thing to do, I suspect they'll just do it anyway.

Still, it's interesting that at least one member of this group of energy executives was repelled by this cynical approach. That's more than most of Washington apparently since the New York Times went on to blithely point this out as if it's old news:

Mr. Berman is well known in Washington for his technique of creating nonprofit groups like the Center for Consumer Freedom that secretly collect corporate donations to finance the aggressive, often satirical media campaigns his team conceives. They are intended to undermine his opponents, like labor unions or animal rights groups that have tried to spotlight the treatment of animals at meatpacking plants...the speech, given in June at the Broadmoor Hotel and Resort, where the Western Energy Alliance held its 2014 annual meeting, could end up bringing a new round of scrutiny to Mr. Berman and the vast network of nonprofit groups and think tanks he runs out of his downtown Washington office.

I guess "Washington" thinks that's perfectly fine. And it would be nice if this article "brings new scrutiny" but perhaps the news media could report this stuff without having a sexy recording as a hook. They certainly seemed to know about it before. If we can't keep money out of politics the least the press can do is shine a light on what it's buying.

Rolling in the Deep State

by digby

Marcy Wheeler has an important piece up at Salon on an issue which all of you who think that "oversight" is the answer to our dilemmas about unconstitutional spying and surveillance:

A presidential order that governs the bulk of the NSA’s spying (and a good deal of other agencies’ spying), Executive Order 12333 has gotten a lot of attention lately. In July, a former State Department official, John Napier Tye, laid out how the order can be abused to permit the government to spy on Americans’ communications collected overseas. More recently, coverage of documents obtained under an ACLU FOIA have introduced new people to the order.

In addition to describing the structure of the intelligence community and prohibiting assassinations, the EO lays out some limits on the spying intelligence agencies can do on Americans.

But there’s something missing from this recent discussion. Indeed, it is missing even from the government’s response to ACLU’s FOIA, even though it probably shouldn’t be.

On December 7, 2007, Senator Sheldon Whitehouse took to the Senate floor to read out language he got declassified from DOJ Office of Legal Counsel opinions that had authorized President Bush’s illegal wiretap program. “An executive order cannot limit a President,” Whitehouse read from his declassified language. ”There is no constitutional requirement for a President to issue a new executive order whenever he wishes to depart from the terms of a previous executive order. Rather than violate an executive order, the President has instead modified or waived it.”

In short, if the President does something (or orders something done) that is prohibited by his own Executive Order, no biggie. He can do that if he wants. Without even changing the language in the order!
This is the common understanding of this tremendously powerful document which governs a huge amount of our intelligence gathering. In other words, if the president does it it's not illegal.

This is, to say the least, problematic. Even if you have full trust in your president whether it be Obama or Bush or Saint Ronald Reagan, there will always be someone new in the office someday who is not the angel your preferred president is. And then what?

This has been one of the guiding legal documents of the Deep State for many, many years. And it might as well be written on kleenex.


The politics of misdirection

by Tom Sullivan

There is a scene early in Die Hard With a Vengeance where Jeremy Irons' character, Simon, posing as a crazy revolutionary, gives the Bruce Willis and Samuel L. Jackson characters a riddle over the phone:

As I was going to St. Ives,
I met a man with seven wives,
Each wife had seven sacks,
Each sack had seven cats,
Each cat had seven kits:
Kits, cats, sacks, and wives,
How many were there going to St. Ives?

After fumbling for a moment trying to do multiplication in their heads, the two realize it's a trick question. There's only one guy. The rest is misdirection.

Misdirection is James O'Keefe's M.O. O'Keefe was in North Carolina yesterday to release another of his hidden-camera videos exposing voter fraud (or something). An actress posing as a Brazilian immigrant tells electioneers at early voting sites that while not a citizen, she is a registered voter with a driver's license. The under-trained volunteers (the ones he chose to show, anyway) tell her — incorrectly — that if she is registered, she should vote. O'Keefe claims they committed felony bad advice. Good luck prosecuting that.

Did they video a Democrat presenting himself to vote under the name of a dead person? No.
Did they observe someone voting twice? No.
Did they film a campaign staffer signing someone else's absentee ballot? No.
Did they so much as videotape someone filling in their ballot with a number 3 pencil? Sorry.

As the Raleigh News & Observer reports, "O’Keefe didn’t get anyone with major campaigns to take the bait, nor does the video show any poll workers allowing noncitizens to vote." Not that the howling right will notice. They're not supposed to. Like Jeremy Irons' phony revolutionary, O'Keefe is the fraud. He found none. The rest is misdirection.

So which real polling places did this fake noncitizen with her phony story and her nonexistent NC driver's license walk into and use an imaginary voter registration to put her fake signature on a real voting register and cast illegal ballots, committing real felony voter fraud? Bueller?

The only people being fooled by O'Keefe are his audience. Willingly.

And I was so hoping "exposing fraud" this time would involve James O'Keefe dropping his pants in public ... in front of police officers.

Thursday, October 30, 2014

Kings of Spy Prom

by digby

I wrote a fun piece for Salon earlier about the big expose by Ali Watkins and Ryan Grim about the "Spy Prom."  Talk about too weird to be believed:
We’ve all heard of the junior prom for high school students. Many of us went to one, although those left peering in the window from the outside undoubtedly still feel the sting of not being invited. And everyone knows about the “nerd prom,” the absurd celebration of D.C. insiderism otherwise known as the Washington Correspondents Dinner. But now we know about the most exclusive prom of all: “spy prom,” an annual gathering of the clandestine services where the spooks all gather to let the good times roll. 
The big exposé comes from Ali Watkins and Ryan Grim at Huffington Post, who start off with this wry observation:
Relations between the intelligence community and the media are at such a low ebb it might be hard to believe that there’s a reporter who spies deeply admire. 
That’s the one jarring note in the whole piece, actually. I can personally think of at least half a dozen reporters whom I’m sure the intelligence community are pleased as punch to call their friends and protectors. It’s not as if there weren’t many so-called journalists who reflexively defended the spying on Americans and ruthlessly criticized reporters who revealed it. From the pages of the New Yorker to the the gabfests on MSNBC, even many ostensibly liberal journalists were quick to condemn the Snowden leaks and demand that he come home immediately to face trial, warming the hearts of police agencies the world over. In fact, I’m fairly sure that the intelligence community sees most reporters who write about them as friends and the few who reveal what they’re actually doing are just bad apples in an otherwise excellent barrel. 
Anyway, that’s just a quibble. The story is amazing.
It is.  Read on. You cannot make this stuff up.

You can't put lipstick on a pig

by digby

So Rand Paul is out there hustling for the African American vote  --- which is a good thing.  I don't know how successful Republicans might be ,considering their philosophy and policies, but they should, at least, want to.

But this made me laugh:
"Remember Domino's Pizza? They admitted, 'Hey, our pizza crust sucks.' The Republican Party brand sucks and so people don’t want to be a Republican and for 80 years, African-Americans have had nothing to do with Republicans," Paul said, according to The Hill.

Paul said that the party needs a makeover because "the perception is that no one in the Republican Party cares."
Here's the thing. Dominos announced that their pizza crust sucks and did a big ostentatious re-brand. But the crust is just as bad as it always was. As is the pizza. It is what it is.

And, by the way, the most loyal customers would have bolted if they changed it in some fundamental way. They like the shitty pizza just the way it is --- and they certainly don't want some new fangled crust with a bunch of new toppings they have no use for.

As I said, it's nice that Paul "cares." And he needs to because his racially insensitive past (and his father's notorious newsletters) are problematic for some of the younger voters that form his fanbase. This makeover is personal for him. Making over the whole Party? Good luck with that.


You mean you can be a terrorist without being a Muslim? Who knew?

by digby

Shhh. Don't tell Bill Maher, but not all terrorists are Muslims. And there are a bunch of them right here in the United States:
Federal agents reportedly found a supply of the explosive ammonium nitrate, along with a pile of guns and ammo, when they searched the hotel room of a leader of a Texas border militia member earlier this month.

The San Antonio Express-News reported on Wednesday about court records that showed the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives dispatched agents to a hotel in Brownsville, Texas where Kevin "KC" Massey had been staying before his Oct. 20 arrest on weapons charges.

Along with a box containing the chemical, the officers found "an AK-47 with six loaded magazines, a loaded handgun, a ballistic helmet and several cameras," according to the Texas newspaper.

As the Express-News noted, ammonium nitrate is the substance used by the Oklahoma City bomber Timothy McVeigh in the attack that killed 168 people.

Massey belonged to the paramilitary group "Camp Lonestar," and was described as a "CO," or commanding officer, in a September profile in the Texas Observer.
Imagine that. A misfit weirdo with a bunch of explosives who isn't a jihadi. How could he have thought of this without the Koran telling him what to do? I can't figure it out ...

In fact, did anyone ever find the hidden Muslim extremist connection with McVeigh? There must be one somewhere. If there isn't one, that would mean that people find all kinds of reasons to commit political violence and you can't attribute it to a religion which claims 1.6 billion non-violent believers any more than you can attribute Tim McVeigh's violence to Thomas Jefferson who said "the tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants". You probably need to look a little more deeply to find the reasons for these things.

The "illegal" election

by digby

I was premature, but I think I got it right:

Thursday, June 08, 2006 

The Theme

by digby 
As I mentioned a month or so ago, Karl Rove was at the Republican Lawyers Association talking about how the Democrats are stealing elections. I can't find an exact transcript of his talk, but it exists on C-SPAN for 30 bucks if anyone wants to watch it. Raw Story caught a few excerpts although not the ones I recall about about the dirty elections in the "state of Washington and around the country."

I want to thank you for your work on clean elections," Rove said. "I know a lot of you spent time in the 2004 election, the 2002, election, the 2000 election in your communities or in strange counties in Florida, helping make it certain that we had the fair and legitimate outcome of the election."
Rove then suggested that some elections in America were similar to third world dictatorships.
"We have, as you know, an enormous and growing problem with elections in certain parts of America today," Rove said. "We are, in some parts of the country, I'm afraid to say, beginning to look like we have elections like those run in countries where they guys in charge are, you know, colonels in mirrored sunglasses. I mean, it's a real problem, and I appreciate that all that you're doing in those hot spots around the country to ensure that the ballot -- the integrity of the ballot is protected, because it's important to our democracy."
Nobody can ever accuse these Republicans of not having balls. It's really breathtaking sometimes. This is not an isolated remark. Here's an excerpt from yesterday's Chris Matthews show:
MATTHEWS: ... What did you make—we just showed the tape, David Shuster just showed that tape of a woman candidate in the United States openly advising people in this country illegally to vote illegally.

MEHLMAN: It sounds like she may have been an adviser to that Washington state candidate for governor or some other places around the country where this has happened in other cases with Democrats.
That is almost verbatim what Rove said at that lawyers conference. He also singled out one very special "voting rights" Republican lawyer named Thor Hearne, about whom Brad Friedman did a great deal of investigation last year. (Links here.):

Karl Rove spoke to Republican lawyers this weekend (carried on C-SPAN) and thanked them for their work ensuring "clean elections" in 2000 and 2004.

He singled out Mark F. "Thor" Hearne by name. Hearne was the National General Counsel for Bush/Cheney '04 Inc. who, along with RNC Communications Director Jim Dyke, created the so-called non-partisan "American Center for Voting Rights" (ACVR) just three days before being called to testify before Rep. Bob Ney's (R-OH) U.S. House Administrative Committee hearing in March of 2005 on the Ohio Election. The front group, which declared tax-exempt 501(c)3 status, has still failed, to our knowledge, to disclose any information of it's funders or proof of their 501(c)3 non-profit, non-partisan status. They operate out of a PO Box in Houston, TX, though neither of their founders live in Texas.

ACVR was the only "Voting Rights" group called by Ney to testify at the hearings, and identified himself only as a "longtime advocate of voter rights" in his testimony. He failed to mention his connections to Bush/Cheney '04 Inc.

Hearne and ACVR have done little more since they opened shop beyond creating propaganda reports to suggest that their is an epidemic of Democratic voter fraud in the country to encourage state legislatures around the country to implement Democratic voter disenfranchising "Photo ID requirements" at the polls. Their charges of a voter fraud epidemic has been roundly disproven in various court cases around the country. (Though it does appear that at least one voter, Ann Coulter, seems to have engaged in voter fraud lately.)

They have been gearing up for this for some time. However, Rove had wanted to use this against African Americans, not Hispanics. He knows that alienating the Latino vote is the kiss of death for the party long term. But it's out of his hands now. Immigration has a life of its own and I suspect it will be quite easy to adjust the plan and the machinery to try to 1) get out the base, 2) suppress the Latino vote which is now heavily leaning democratic and 3) serve as a rallying cry and cause when they lose seats and possibly their majority. This will be immediately played for 08 with a whole bunch of "voter integrity" legislation. They will be screaming to high heaven. Lou Dobbs will have his aneurysm removed on live television.

The Democrats could have innoculated against this when the Republicans stole the 2000 election, but they didn't. Had they been screaming bloody murder for six solid years about Republican vote fraud, it would be much more difficult for the GOP to suddenly glom onto this issue. Instead, it was a mere underground drumbeat that was heard, but only in the vaguest way. Now the CW about stolen elections is going to be turned on us --- and we will be on the defensive fighting both the charge of electoral fraud and being soft on criminal Mexicans because we need illegal aliens to stuff the ballot boxes for us. 

If we allow the Republicans to define this next election as they usually do, it will be about immigration and voter fraud. If I were in Vegas I'd be placing a bet on it. And it won't take a gaffe like Busby's. They will attempt to create a national story, which will be exploited in the last days of the campaign in various individual ways through their media infrastructure. If they lose it will be blamed on dishonest vote stealing Democrats and illegal aliens. If they win it will be be because they fought back against the dishonest vote stealing Democrats and illegal aliens. 
I dredge this moldy old post up because of this new "study" being ballyhooed all over the right wing media that supposedly proves that illegal immigrants are voting by the millions.

If you go to that link you'll see the study is flawed, to say the least.  But that won't stop them.

Also too, this:

Polls show that the Republicans have an advantage in the fight for control of the Senate. They lead in enough states to win control, and they have additional opportunities in North Carolina and New Hampshire to make up for potential upsets. As Election Day nears, Democratic hopes increasingly hinge on the possibility that the polls will simply prove wrong.

But that possibility is not far-fetched. The polls have generally underestimated Democrats in recent years, and there are reasons to think it could happen again.

In 2010, the polls underestimated the Democrats in every competitive Senate race by an average of 3.1 percentage points, based on data from The Huffington Post’s Pollster model. In 2012, pre-election polls underestimated President Obama in nine of the 10 battleground states by an average of 2 percentage points.

I think it's fairly predictable what they will say if close elections don't go their way these days.


Wary of change?

by digby

This is from a story on the pot measures around the country looking like they're coming up short in this election:
"We're dealing with a tough mood in the country right now with Ebola and ISIS and the big drop in the stock market," Nadelmann said. "It puts a drag on things. People are not in a forward-thinking state of mind. They are more wary of change."
It made me wonder if 2008 might have been different if the financial crisis had hit earlier in the cycle. Would people have been less "forward thinking" and more wary of change? I guess it's possible. But I think this mood right now is different because people don't see a way out. In 2008 there was a lot of fear growing sharply at the end but Obama was well positioned to be seen as the savior who would fix it. Now it feels like nobody can.

I just hope the country doesn't decide that Ted Cruz and his ilk might be the way to go after 8 years of ongoing duress. Because they really are nuts, even the allegedly normal ones.

From the "if you build it they will use it" files: Inside the Border Patrol

by digby

Politico Magazine is featuring a fascinating photo essay about the Border Patrol:
In 2007, artist David Taylor began documenting the quickly changing face of the U.S.-Mexico border at the height of the U.S. Border Patrol’s post-9/11 surge. He built relationships with smugglers, migrants and, in particular, the Border Patrol agents with whom he embedded off and on for four years, observing their workaday routines and shadowing them while they responded to calls. Over time, Taylor gained access to some of the most hidden corners of the agency’s various facilities along the border—in one instance, an agent told him he was the only person who had ever photographed a room stocked to the brim with M4 rifles. Throughout the project, Taylor saw a network of no-frills double-wide trailers staffed with career agents balloon into a state-of-the-art $3.5 billion behemoth, beset with allegations of rampant abuse and misconduct. The Border Patrol today, he says, “is not the Border Patrol I started with.”
You know what they say about money corrupting and all that jazz ...

Here's a bit of the story that accompanies it:

By 7 p.m., the Border Patrol, having questioned the first two victims, had realized there was a third victim, notifying the FBI that a kidnapping had occurred and that the girl was probably being held by a Border Patrol agent. The magnitude and horror of the crime were unusual, but the potential perpetrator wasn’t. The FBI in McAllen had gotten used to investigating assaults and misconduct among Border Patrol agents; it had become the field office’s top criminal priority. 
It took only hours to narrow down a suspect: When investigators examined the truck Manzanares used on his shift, they found blood and duct tape.

By 12:39 a.m., FBI agents knocked on his red door, Apartment 1513, and shouted, “FBI—federal agents.” At first, there was no response. Then, the agents heard a single gunshot as Manzanares took his own life. When a SWAT team broke down the door, they found the teen inside, still naked and bound, but alive.

Now it was definitely time to tell the new commissioner.

Kerlikowske had already known that the Border Patrol was troubled, of course: It had taken 1,870 days into the Obama administration before he even became the first Senate-confirmed commissioner of the Obama era, and he was well aware he didn’t have much time to right an agency that was beset by corruption problems and excessive force complaints, the unfortunate legacies of a massive hiring surge that had doubled the force’s size in just a few years after 9/11. That lying and obfuscation had often accompanied the scandals was no real surprise either.
Read the whole thing to see an agency awash in money and getting more corrupt and criminal by the day. And then ponder this story from last year:
Five Republicans on the Senate Judiciary Committee who frequently rail against government spending voted to increase federal appropriations on border security by an undetermined billions of dollars during the Senate Judiciary Committee’s mark-up of the bipartisan senate immigration bill on Thursday, agreeing to deploy twice as many border agents to the South Western border than “will be on the ground in Afghanistan at the start of 2014.” The measure failed in a vote of 5 to 13.

The debate came during consideration of an amendment offered by Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) to triple the number of border patrol agents on the border and quadruple the technological infrastructure. The measure, which would have delayed the path to legalization for the nations 11.1 million by almost 10 years, could have required as much as $60 billion in additional government spending.

Ted Cruz is the very essence of the Republican Party. The federal government has a blank check for police and military --- and nothing else. It must focus its power on foreigners and people of color, of course. Nice white people who toe the line must be "free." When you strip away all the Randian bullshit and paeans to freedom and liberty this is what they want.

Men with guns

by digby

I don't know what's wrong with this police officer but something is. This is completely unprofessional.

The footage began with an apparent conversation between the two men and then showed MacLeod's reaction when Valdes told him "God bless you." MacLeod, who seemed to be letting Valdes go with a ticket, came back up to the motorcyclist and got in his face as he shouted.

"You want to be a sarcastic bitch? I'll be fucking a bigger bitch," MacLeod said. "You're fucking with the wrong dude, bro. I've been here longer than you've fucking been alive. I've put up with more shit that you can ever think of. So if you want to test me again, you'll be finding Dade County Jail real fucking hunky dory tonight."

In the video, Valdes told MacLeod he just wanted to go to work.

"Then don't be a fucking little wise-ass 20-year-old punk," MacLeod said.

A decent cop would have ignored the comment.  Or maybe said "thank you". Or even rolled his eyes. But losing his cool over that? That's a bad cop. He should not be on the street.

On the other hand, my husband was topped the other day for rolling through a stop sign. The cop was amazingly professional, very cool, all business even let us off with a warning saying that he knew my husband wasn't "going to do it again ... right?" (He was Santa Monica PD.) This was in stark contrast to an LAPD stop I had a couple of years ago when the officer was abusive towards me, yelling and screaming because my tail light wasn't working. You just never know ...

The job has tons of benefits and they deserve all of them. Cops are just people and they have a very stressful job. But when they get like this they need to be relieved of duty. It's that simple. You can't have people in authority with weapons who have a short fuse like that.


Deprogramming the Prosperity Gospel

by Tom Sullivan

Just because you don't hear the term "free-market fundamentalism" much these days doesn't mean the faith has gone away. More on that in a minute.

Der Spiegel looks at The Zombie System: How Capitalism Has Gone Off the Rails. The wizards of finance are not the choir boys that prove the moral superiority of capitalism, as analyst Mike Mayo believed when he entered the business. Instead, writes Michael Sauga, Mayo found "the glittering facades of the American financial industry concealed an abyss of lies and corruption." Ironically, some the most blessed(?) beneficiaries of the corruption, global financial and political leaders, now say they want to fix capitalism, make it more inclusive:

It isn't necessary, of course, to attend the London conference on "inclusive capitalism" to realize that industrialized countries have a problem. When the Berlin Wall came down 25 years ago, the West's liberal economic and social order seemed on the verge of an unstoppable march of triumph. Communism had failed, politicians worldwide were singing the praises of deregulated markets and US political scientist Francis Fukuyama was invoking the "end of history."

Today, no one talks anymore about the beneficial effects of unimpeded capital movement. Today's issue is "secular stagnation," as former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers puts it. The American economy isn't growing even half as quickly as did in the 1990s. Japan has become the sick man of Asia. And Europe is sinking into a recession that has begun to slow down the German export machine and threaten prosperity.

Sauga's detailed account features several financial experts worried about the future course of a world economy seeing an explosion in private wealth from technical financing tweaks (instead of genuine growth), and a concomitant imbalance of wealth with the rest of society. There is, writes Sauga, "a dangerous malfunction in capitalism's engine room."

In this sense, the crisis of capitalism has turned into a crisis of democracy. Many feel that their countries are no longer being governed by parliaments and legislatures, but by bank lobbyists, which apply the logic of suicide bombers to secure their privileges: Either they are rescued or they drag the entire sector to its death.

But you don't need a financial analyst to know that fixing this mess will require a movement akin to the one that broke up the trusts a century ago. Some hoped Barack Obama, arriving in Washington as the financial crash broke, might have the political capital and the stomach for leading such a movement to bring the banks to heel. We know how that worked out. Still, while a movement may need a leader, a leader also needs a movement.

Lack of accountability and "too big to fail" have meant that top firms are back earning what they did (or more) before the crash, while other "zombie banks" that received bailouts instead of funerals remain too weak to lend money, and now survive only by more speculation:

What distinguishes the current situation from the wild years before the financial crisis is that speculators were once driven by greed but have since turned into speculators motivated by need.

Much of the Der Spiegel account looks at the possibilities for returning the capitalist system to health. Yet, the power of organized wealth, especially as it has the ear of politicians and the ability to, as Sen. Elizabeth Warren repeats, rig the system to its own advantage, will not easily give up its power and deep faith in its own rightousness.

Scientology, Randism, New Age mysticism, or the Prosperity Gospel, cults have a way of morphing and adapting. Internal contradictions are ignored, explained away, or synthesized into fresh doctrines to support the faith. Keeping the free-market faith — patching it, preserving it, defending it — is easier than giving it up cold turkey. Even the losers in the comment threads hold to it as fervently as any fringe evangelical or most committed member of the Comintern.

Which means, perhaps, that any efforts to reform capitalism are premature. A key feature of the kind of self-reinforcing faith one sees among many cults, and maybe characteristic of our culture, is the way money becomes the measure of all things, especially God's grace — making a priesthood of the rich. Before any balance can be restored, before "inclusion" can take place, breaking that spell may be a prerequisite. It suggests that any efforts at re-regulating gilded capitalism may first have to wait until after the deprogramming.

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Could a person really be this dumb?

by digby

How is it even possible?

Officials have confirmed that an offensive Halloween display at a Fort Campbell residence has been removed.

A ClarksvilleNow.com reader sent a photo of the display, which shows what appears to be a black family hanging from a tree in a yard on Litwin St.

The child in the display has a knife in its back and one of the figures holds a sign that is not legible in the photo.

Fort Campbell Public Affairs said they are aware of the display and have since had it taken down from the yard.

Brendalyn Carpenter with Public Affairs said they received a report of a Halloween decoration that was “offensive in nature” and contacted authorities to investigate. The occupant was informed of the concerns made by the community and removed the display.

Carpenter said it was her understanding that the display was not intended to be offensive, but authorities deemed it could be interpreted as such. She said the occupant did extend an apology about the decorations.

I suspect it is possible this person didn't know he or she was doing anything wrong. It's too obviously outrageous. Which means he or she must really be this dumb.

It happened on a military base. You don't suppose they ever issued this person a gun or anything do you? Or a driver's license? He's obviously a danger to everyone around him simply by virtue of his empty headedness.

Update:  According to Raw Story some people are claiming this is based on a movie called "Sinister" which is about a white family that's been killed.  The black garbage bags for faces was just an oversight.  It might even be true.  In which case these people are definitely dumber than dirt.

Oh those darned kids

by digby

This is sort of funny since I wrote a post just yesterday on this subject without this latest information:

Democrats have lost ground with millennials compared to past election cycles — a development that suggests the country’s youngest voters are open to both parties, according to a new Harvard Institute of Politics poll.

The nationwide poll of more than 2,000 adults ages 18 to 29, conducted Sept. 26 to Oct. 9, found significant political divisions across racial lines, no significant gender gap in the age group, and a slight Republican advantage among definite voters going into the 2014 midterm election.

“A lesson here, for us, is that young people, millennials, are no longer the political outliers that they once were,” said John Della Volpe, the Harvard Institute of Politics polling director, on a conference call with reporters. “In contrast to where we were four years ago, the youth vote is very much up for grabs politically.”

The 2014 poll shows that 51 percent of millennials considered most likely to vote would rather see a Republican Congress — 4 points higher than those who prefer Democrats. That’s a 16-point jump from 2010, when that group preferred Democrats by 12 percent.

These are midterm voters so it doesn't represent the whole electorate. But it's interesting nonetheless.

The point of my post yesterday is that you have to look at who they voted for when they came of age and it's not always as obvious as people think. The conclusion of that piece quoted an expert saying this:

New college students are liberal – just not as liberal as freshmen were four years ago. This new class is about as liberal as young people were early in the Carter and Clinton administrations. People who turned 18 during the Carter administration ended up being somewhat more Republican than average; those who came of age during Clinton's were somewhat more Democratic. How today's college freshmen will vote likely depends on the state of the economy over the next four years.

Are the new college freshmen just a blip in a sea of student liberalism?

The polling says "probably not". Before the election, American University/GfK polled high school (13-17 year-olds) and college students. The margin between Obama and Mitt Romney for high school students was 21pt less than among all college students. (Note: there's no discernible difference between the voting patterns of 18-29 year-olds with at least some college education and those without.)

The huge fall isn't exactly surprising. The Roosevelt generation is liberal because people became politically aware when Roosevelt was viewed as a success. The Gipper generation is conservative for the same reason with regard to Reagan. Conversely, the younger Bush is mostly viewed as a failure, and as such, most young people revolted.

Obama's presidency, meanwhile, is only seen as a moderate success – as illustrated by a rather close re-election margin in the popular vote. Given past history, it's expected to be seen as somewhere between good and average, as far as presidencies go. We would expect, therefore, that people who come of age during this presidency to be about as Democratic as the nation, or slightly more so.

And that's exactly what seems to be happening.

Indeed, the generation of the next few years isn't likely to be either conservative or overwhelmingly liberal; it's probably going to be moderate. The UCLA survey found that the fastest growing group are people who describe themselves as "middle of the road". On social issues, like gay marriage, they lean lean to left; on fiscal issues, like healthcare, they lean more to the right than the majority of current 18-29 year-olds.

Overall, I doubt we're looking at a pipeline of new liberals. Far more than most young voters today, the next generation is likely to be up for grabs.

The hints of this have been out there for a while. The Democrats would be very foolish to take this generation for granted. They seem to think they have them all sewn up but they don't.

Readying for the riot

by digby

Remember how everyone was shocked by the militarization of the police during the Ferguson protests? Well it looks like the police were properly chastised by our outrage and in anticipation of a Grand Jury decision they've taken a whole new approach. Not:

Anticipating a furore, the St Louis County Police department has been reportedly stockpiling riot gear. The department has spent $173,000 since August on tear gas, plastic handcuffs, smoke grenades and canisters, rubber bullets, beanbag bullets and pepper balls. They have also invested in new helmets, batons and shields.

Well, they haven't invested in any new sound cannons or taser tanks so I guess it's all good.

Of course the police have to prepare for unrest. I don't think anyone believes they shouldn't do that. But I'd be a lot more impressed if the stories were about the various police departments reviewing their tactics and taking a different approach rather than loading up on more riot gear. How much more of that stuff do they need anyway?


Brain damage or death. Your choice.

by digby

I wrote about this Missouri taser incident at the time but I came across this Fox News update today while I was looking for something else. It would be darkly funny if it weren't so tragic:

INDEPENDENCE, Mo. — An Independence teenager injured after being hit with a police taser is out of a coma, but is having trouble remembering a few things. We’re now getting a better picture of what may have happened before the officer reacted.

After the incident that sent Bryce Masters to the hospital in critical condition, police applied for search warrants for his car and phone.

Court documents describe the officers’ account of some of the things that happened during the traffic stop. The 17-year-old was in a medically induced coma over the weekend because doctors say his heart stopped after being tased.

An attorney representing the Masters’ family says the teenager has an infection, but is improving. He does say that Masters is suffering from some memory loss.

Investigators say Masters wouldn’t cooperate with the officer, and the officer used his taser. Police say they found drug paraphernalia in Masters’ car.

In court documents, police officer Tim Runnels states he smelled the odor of marijuana coming from inside Masters’ car when the teen rolled down the window, but would not roll it all the way down telling the officer, “why? I can hear you.”

Officer Runnels states he told him to get out of the car several times with Masters replying, “why, am I under arrest?”

According to court documents, Masters braced himself in the car so the officer could not get him out and was tased inside the car. Masters ended up on the ground, handcuffed.

Officer Runnels states Masters did not comply with his command to move to the side of the road, so he grabbed Masters from behind and carried him to the side of the road where, according to an affidavit, Masters began to suffer from some sort of medical emergency. What the affidavit does not say is if Officer Runnels provided medical aid to Masters before the ambulance arrived.

That is something the Federal Bureau of Investigation is looking into during its investigation, to see if Masters’ civil rights were violated.

The Masters’ family also asked the Justice Department to get involved. Documents also state that Masters was videotaping the incident on his cell phone. That phone is in the custody of the Independence Police Department.

"Some sort of medical emergency?" Actually the kid's heart stopped beating, he sustained brain damage and is in rehab. A little infection and "some memory loss" is the least of it.

But even more important is this notion implicit in that report that the police contend that he somehow deserved to be put into a coma because he refused to cooperate. That's truly outrageous.

Apparently, white teens in Missouri who fail to properly deal with authorities deserve to get brain damage. Black teens deserve to get shot dead on the spot. Either way, the lesson is that your civil rights end the minute you come in contact with a police officer. Which is just plain weird.

The story of his tasering is here, with witness accounts that tell a very different story than the ones the cops are telling.

“He pulled him out of the car, handcuffed him then drug him around the car then let him fall and it looked like he hit his face on the concrete, you could see blood coming out of his mouth and the cop put his foot on his back and moved it back and forth like he was putting a cigarette out and asked him ‘are you ready to get up now?’ You could tell the kid was going into convulsions. He turned him over and his head was dangling like this and he had blood coming out,” said Baker.

He almost tortured that kid to death.

Blue America vs Sheldon Adelson

by digby

So Sheldon Adelson came into my congressional district in the last couple of weeks and spewed some anti-Muslim vomit all over the race to succeed Henry Waxman.  I'm not sure what he hoped to achieve but I doubt he will succeed in painting Ted Lieu as a terrorist symp.

Blue America doesn't have Adelson billions.  But we do what we can.  So we took out a full page ad in the LA Times today, highlighting the fact that the Westside of LA is lucky to have such a staunch liberal leader to send to congress. I don't think Adelson can beat this record with a bunch of bigoted swill:

If you happen to be in or near the district you can help get out the vote by going here.

We'd like to run another get out the vote ad on the day before the election if we can. If you can help us do that you can contribute here.

I can't not say this; nor can Rick Weiland

by Gaius Publius

I can't not say this, because it's news and it pertains.

Earlier this month I wrote about how, while progressives are constantly hectored (blackmailed) by Democratic leaders to never let Democrats lose a house of Congress — those same "Democratic" leaders had themselves surrendered the House and are a skosh away from surrendering the Senate ... because they won't back strong progressive candidates, preferring corp-sponsored losers who play ball with their own big-money friends instead.

In other words, corporate-supported Democratic leaders are already Tea Partying progressives. How about them apples?

And now comes Rick Weiland, Democratic and progressive candidate for the U.S. Senate in the battleground state of South Dakota, to say the same thing.

Shorter Rick Weiland:
"Would you believe? I'm being 'Tea Partied' by non-progressive Senate Democratic leaders. They're tanking my candidacy in favor of a right-leaning 'independent' who happens to be Harry Reid's friend."
Can I say his assertions are true? No. Can I say he says they are? Absolutely — it's news and it pertains. Read the story and decide for yourself; from the Argus Leader:
Weiland accuses own party of sabotaging his campaign
Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Rick Weiland accused his own political party of trying to undermine his campaign in a striking news conference Monday.

Weiland said the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee's ads attacking Republican incumbent Mike Rounds have backfired and hurt him.

"You put negative on a candidate and you put your disclosure at the bottom that says 'Paid for by the Democratic Senate Campaign Committee,' the Democratic candidate's going to get blamed for that," Weiland said.

But Weiland went a step further and said this wasn't just an inadvertent side effect of the negative ads. He said it was deliberate — an attempt to sabotage him and boost independent Larry Pressler.

"My national party — that I'm a member of — (was) trying to drive votes to Larry Pressler and trying to drive up my negatives," Weiland said.

A spokesman for the DSCC declined to comment on Weiland's charges. ...
And the mitigation:
National political analyst Larry Sabato was skeptical of Weiland's claims.

"Unless (Weiland) has evidence he didn't present, it's quite a stretch, if not a wild charge," said Sabato, president of the University of Virginia's Center For Politics.

While it's true that the DSCC "would welcome a victory by either Pressler or Weiland," Sabato said, "I don't think that was the DSCC's intention to have the ads backfire on (Weiland)."
Even though Pressler previously served in the Senate and reportedly has a personal relationship with Sen. Reid (see same article), my suspicion is that Sabato is right — given the chance that Weiland could win, Reid et al had to make a show of caring; the rest may have been a "happy" accident. Still, it's been clear for some time, by his previous and total lack of support, that Harry Reid would not welcome Weiland into the Senate.

Still, as of the latest polling, Pressler's numbers are now falling, and Rounds, the Republican, is the beneficiary. If Reid loses the Senate, will his non-support of Weiland, when it could have counted, be held against him in the mainstream press? Will they even notice that Reid likely tanked himself? I'll go with No on that one.

But this isn't over. You can help Rick Weiland by donating here. And if you're a South Dakota resident, by all means volunteer. After all, Auburn doesn't beat Alabama by crying in their helmets in the fourth quarter. They play to the whistle.

Howie Klein has more (scroll down to the UPDATE). Quoting Weiland (my emphasis):
"For every one of the 18 months since I became a candidate for the United States Senate, and the 6 months since I was formally selected to be the candidate of the party you are supposed to represent, I have been asking you for positive assistance with my campaign. Instead of that assistance you have said I am not your choice, tried to dry up my funds by saying I cannot win, refused to have your DSCC even endorse me, and now you have come into my state with ugly, negative attacks against Mike Rounds, ads that you and every knowledgeable political strategist in America knows hurt me and help Larry Pressler, the longtime Republican who has apparently won your support for his so called independent campaign by whispering that if elected he might vote to help you [Harry Reid] keep your job as Majority Leader.

"Based on this record of non-support for me, and of actions which assist one of my opponents, I am today formally requesting that you either begin airing positive advertising about my fight against big money, and for the ordinary citizens who our party is supposed to be pledged to support, or else you get out of our state. I do not want phony help that actually helps Larry Pressler by attacking Mike Rounds over what appears to everyone to be my name because it says paid for by the national political party of which I am a member."

"I am also today requesting that the South Dakota Democratic Party join me in repudiating these tactics and requesting that you and the National Democratic Party assist all South Dakota Democrats in our fight for a higher minimum wage, protection and expansion of Medicare and Social Security, equal rights for all citizens, and in helping us to help like-minded voters get to the polls on November 4."
People like Reid say the Senate is so important. Then they do stuff like this. What to believe, their admonitions to progressives, or their unnoticed actions?


If they only had a president

by digby

My Salon piece today is about the slick new House majority leader Kevin McCrthy and how he's leading the press corps around by the nose:

[I]t’s not surprising that over the weekend the entire village began to kvell in unison at the news that McCarthy was lecturing Republicans about the need to “govern” lest they be locked out of the presidency again in 2016. If there is one thing the political establishment loves more than anything it’s a party leader scolding his own party, especially when they perceive it to be a call for a more genteel, centrist approach that doesn’t challenge the status quo in any measurable way.

Now in this case, there might be good reason to hope that Kevin McCarthy was putting some of his extremist colleagues on notice that their more outlandish shenanigans were not going to be tolerated any longer. No more government shutdowns, no more indiscriminate budget slashing, no more ludicrous investigations into Benghazi! or the IRS. Now is the time for the Republicans to show they are indeed the grown-ups in the room and start working across the aisle with Democrats to get things done for the good of the nation. Unfortunately, McCarthy doesn’t live in Republican Bizarro world and neither do we so the chances of that happening are about as good as the chance that Jerry Brown is going down to defeat next week. No, McCarthy is doing something a little bit different and if you parse his words carefully you’ll see what it is.

Read on. His plan is to show what might be ... if only.


For People

by Tom Sullivan

In the flood of campaign email and glimpsed web pages yesterday, someone commented on a campaign using the slogan (IIRC), "For Education. For People." Education has become a near ubiquitous Democratic theme this year.

But what was eye-catching was the stark simplicity of "For People." And the fact that somebody thought being for people is a snappy message for contrasting a Democrat with the opposition. "For People" sounds so bland, yet asks a stinging question. If your opponents are are not for people, what are they for?

I like it. In an age when one major party believes money is speech and corporations are people, you have to wonder. In an economic system striving to turn people into commodities and every human interaction into a transaction, what is the economy for? In a surveillance state that treats citizens as future suspects, what is freedom for? In an election where red states view voters as unindicted felons, what is democracy for?

Republicans themselves must be asking what they are really for, given the rebranding campaign released a month ago:

The party of Cruz and Ryan and Gohmert wants you to know Republicans really are normal people. No, really.

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

The No Labels Dream

by digby

According to Jim Newell,  the centrist bucket of lukewarm spit known as No Labels is putting money into Cory Gardner's campaign to unseat Mark Udall because Udall has been running a negative campaign.  This in spite of the fact that Cory Gardner is either a moron who voted for "Personhood" for blastocysts without knowing that it is an extremist policy designed to ban all abortion and many forms of birth control --- or he's a lying creep who believes that we should ban all abortion and many forms of birth control.  (Either that, or No Labels are also a bunch of lying creeps who are happy to ban abortion and many forms of birth control as a way of finding "common ground" with right wing extremists.) Whatever. Cory Gardner is an unreconstructed wingnut who has changed his spots so that he can get elected to the Senate in a swing state.  Nothing new about that.  But let's not pretend he isn't doing what we all know he's doing.

Meanwhile, let's take a look at one of his campaign ads, shall we?

I guess that's considered a positive ad in No Labels terms.

No Labels is a centrist outfit that believes the best of all possible worlds is a GOP congress and a mealy mouthed Democratic president who will sign every piece of shitty conservative legislation out there on behalf of the wealthy elites of this country.  (Barring that, they're happy to have a GOP congress and a GOP president --- it's just not quite a neat because they can't pat themselves on the back for their bipartisanship.) We may be about to see whether President Obama will fulfill their dream for them.  God help us if he does.


A very select club petitions one of its own members to do the right thing

by digby

Hey, remember when President Obama won the Nobel Peace Prize? I know, those were heady times.
Check out what his fellow Peace Prize Winners are asking of him today:

Twelve winners of the Nobel Peace Prize asked President Barack Obama late Sunday to make sure that a Senate report on the Central Intelligence Agency’s use of harsh interrogation tactics is released so the U.S. can put an end to a practice condemned by many as torture.

The release of the report, which is the most detailed account of the CIA’s interrogation practices in the wake of the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks, would be an opportunity for the U.S. and the world to come to terms with interrogation techniques that went too far, the laureates said in an open letter and petition. The release of the report by the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence has stalled as the Obama Administration the CIA, and lawmakers clashed over how much of it should be redacted.

American leaders have “eroded the very freedoms and rights that generations of their young gave their lives to defend” by engaging in and justifying torture, the peace prize winners said. The letter was published on TheCommunity.com, a project spearheaded by Peace Prize winner and international peacemaker José Ramos-Horta.

Archbishop Desmond Tutu of South Africa is among the laureates behind the letter, which also calls for the closure of the military prison at Guantanamo Bay.

Honestly, if they deep six the report (or redact it so heavily that it's meaningless) I think President Obama has no choice but to give back his prize. There's a lot of actions he's taken as president that people could claim disqualify him for the prize anyway. Arguments about the dirty wars and targeted assassination programs alone will go on for generations. But one can, at least, say they represent some form of modern warfare and that the President of a military Empire is always going to be required to deal in such ugly matters. (That, in fact, s one reason why it was ludicrous to give him the prize in the first place --- he runs the most powerful killing machine on the planet.)

But however you see his performance as Commander in Chief, There can be no debate about torture. It's a war crime.It should be prosecuted. But even if they cannot do that, covering it up is to be complicit.
Telling people they can't do something they have a right to do just makes them want to do it. #vote

by digby

I heard rumors that O'Keefe and company are in North Carolina hoping to get some black faces on camera so they can raise a little money from their racist supporters. But it's not likely to work. People are on to their tricks.

And anyway, the problem with all these vote suppression tactics is that it's having the opposite effect. It turns out that people don't like being told they cannot do what they have every right to do and so they get involved in ways they might otherwise not have done. Imagine that:

This fall, two immigrant-support organizations in Charlotte are joining forces to reach out to a thousand Latino and Asian voters in North Carolina's largest city to cast votes in this November's midterm elections.

The Latin American Coalition (LAC) and the Southeast Asian Coalition (SEAC) are two organizations supporting the booming populations of Latino and Southeast Asian immigrants in Charlotte. They share an office in central Charlotte and first crossed paths through the national New Americans Campaign, through which they have worked together to support immigrants through the naturalization process and to push for comprehensive immigration reform.

This fall, LAC and SEAC are coming together again in a home-grown effort to mobilize a thousand registered Asian and Latino voters of the 9,000 Asian and 17,000 Latino* registered voters in Charlotte. Targeting two precincts in southwest Charlotte with the highest numbers of registered Latino and Asian voters, LAC and SEAC plan to reach out through door knocks, mailers, robo-calls, and live calls in the weeks leading up to the election.

With a goal of making 12 touches per voter, the project is the most intensive get-out-the-vote (GOTV) campaign that either group has undertaken. It will test and build the organizing capacity of each organization as they look to 2016 and beyond.

The campaign also experiments with mail-in absentee ballots as a way to increase turnout among immigrants. LAC and SEAC's joint teams of Latino, Asian, and other canvassers are knocking on the doors of Latino and Asian households, encouraging people to mail in their vote by absentee ballot this year. It's a method of voting that's been growing across the country in recent years and makes voting easier for voters, particularly those who can't take time off from work to go to the polls. Oregon and Washington state actually conduct all of their voting by mail. In North Carolina, any registered voter can request an absentee ballot by sending in a request form. These must be submitted by Oct. 28, a week before Election Day. Ballots must then be returned to the voter's county board of elections by 5 p.m. on Nov. 4.

Gosh, all these African Americans and latinos and Asians all seem to be getting involved in politics. It looks like trying to suppress their vote is having a galvanizing effect.

Here's a little ditty about Vote Suppression that'll get stuck in your head all evening:

If you haven't donated to any Blue America candidates as yet, here's the page. All the money at this stage will go toward getting out the vote. We'd love to see some of these folks defy the odds and with your help it's entirely possible that a few of them might just pull it off. Stay tuned.

Talkin' 'bout my g-g-g-g-generation

by digby

As I watch cynical Republicans accuse Democrats of hating old people because they supported cuts to Social Security I keep thinking about the fact that so many people seem to believe that's not a big deal because old people are all Republicans.  Setting aside the fact that at this point it's only old white people who are voting Republican, it seems like a good time to remind everyone that Social Security is the most successful anti-poverty program in American history and remains the Democratic Party's signature achievement. Before social security millions of elderly people lived in dire straits , often literally in the poorhouse, even before the depression. The end of the agrarian way of life that featured intergenerational support on the farm meant more of the elderly were in cities. Companies wouldn't hire them, even if they were able to work. They were barely hanging on:
Mrs. M.A. Zoller of Beaumont, Texas, begged for someone to help her 82-year-old mother, who, she wrote, was diabetic, "out of funds completely," and had "no place to go unless it be to the poorhouse."

And over the hill to the poorhouse many older people went. Financed by local taxes, poorhouses were the shelters for all of a region's indigent, and in the early 20th century, most counties had one. The best of the poorhouses provided a meager standard of living. The worst doubled as insane asylums and orphanages. "I was three miles from town but felt like I was 3,000 miles from friends and country," wrote Ed Sweeney in his 1927 memoir, "Poorhouse Sweeney." "I have ate off trays that looked like they had spent the rainy season laying on a city dump."

Germany, Sweden, France and England, among other countries, already had legislated publicly funded old-age insurance before Americans took up the debate. Proponents in the U.S. wondered why men and women who had been diligent, thrifty workers should suffer hunger and insecurity in their old age. In a letter to an editor, a postal worker pointed out that horses owned by the federal government lived out their old age on full rations. "For the purpose of drawing a pension," he declared, "it would have been better if I had been born a horse than a human being."

Opponents argued that sensible people would provide for themselves, and that universal old-age insurance would set the country on the slippery slope to socialism. Children, not the state, were obliged to care for the old, they said; without that responsibility, family ties would loosen. And if employees were guaranteed lifetime support, wouldn't they feel less incentive to work hard?

Even after the Social Security Act became law, it was vigorously challenged in America's courts.

"The hope behind this statute," wrote Justice Benjamin Cardozo for the bare 5-4 majority of the Supreme Court in 1937, "is to save men and women from the rigors of the poorhouse, as well as from the haunting fear that such a lot awaits them when journey's end is near."
It's scary even with social security. I can't imagine what it was like without it.

Anyway, the elderly, for all their prejudices and simple pain-in-the-assedness are a constituency that has the Democratic Party to thank for the fact that they are not consigned to poverty. And the Democratic Party traditionally reminded them of that every election day. Unfortunately, their recent experience tells them that the Democratic Party is more than willing to cut their benefits and that's just a shame. Certainly the Republicans are shameless enough to exploit it.

And as for their voting habits, they are not a cohort that always votes Republican. It's idiotic for younger Democrats to make that assumption and write off this group of people who are very dedicated voters:
The generational math is different than you might think.

One of my favorite bits of trivia points to the bigger picture: "From which age group did Bill Clinton win the highest percentage of votes in 1992?"


Indeed, if you came of age during the Franklin D Roosevelt administration, you are more Democratic than the nation as a whole. If you could first vote during the administrations of Ronald Reagan or George HW Bush, you're more Republican. Turn 18 while Barack Obama held the White House and, again, you're more Democratic. That's right: the 18-29 year-olds of today are about as Democratic as their oldest grandparents and great-grandparents.

I'm in the Nixon group up there. And we are very, very Democratic as group. There is a boatload of us --- we're the second half of the baby boom. We are also scared to death about our financial future since we just lost our shirts in the financial crisis and many of us lost our homes and our houses and we don't feel we have enough time to get it back.

This is a natural Democratic constituency. And even the vanguard boomers who tend to vote more Republican aren't nearly as Republican as the group coming up who came of age during the Reagan years.

And anyway, old people deserve to live in dignity even if they are Republicans. After all, if we're lucky, we'll all be old someday. It's kind of startling to recognize that you're there (or on the precipice) and see that the Democratic party is willing to use you as a pawn in a Grand Bargain in Washington that seems to serve no one but Wall Street and the wealthy.

And ponder this:

Many might think that these Roosevelt-generation voters are going to be replaced by more liberal Obama-era voters, but polling casts that theory into doubt. Just because today's college students are liberal doesn't mean tomorrow's will lean left, too.

UCLA has been polling freshman college students for over 40 years on their political beliefs, and has found that young people are hardly automatic Democrats.

On the eve of the 2008 election (pdf), the most college freshmen in 35 years – 30.3% of men and 37.4% of women – described themselves as liberal or left. Combined, that matches the 33% percentage of 18-29 year-olds who described themselves as liberals in 2012. In other words, the new college students of 2008 were representative of a new generation of liberals.

On the eve of the 2012 election, the percentages of liberals among first-year college men and women dropped by 4pt and 5pt, to 26.4% and 32.4%, respectively. The liberal percentage is about 10pt higher than it was during the Reagan administration (pdf), but it's a major liberal decline – nearly on par with what occurred between the 1976 and 1980 elections.

New college students are liberal – just not as liberal as freshmen were four years ago. This new class is about as liberal as young people were early in the Carter and Clinton administrations. People who turned 18 during the Carter administration ended up being somewhat more Republican than average; those who came of age during Clinton's were somewhat more Democratic. How today's college freshmen will vote likely depends on the state of the economy over the next four years.

Are the new college freshmen just a blip in a sea of student liberalism?

The polling says "probably not". Before the election, American University/GfK polled high school (13-17 year-olds) and college students. The margin between Obama and Mitt Romney for high school students was 21pt less than among all college students. (Note: there's no discernible difference between the voting patterns of 18-29 year-olds with at least some college education and those without.)

The huge fall isn't exactly surprising. The Roosevelt generation is liberal because people became politically aware when Roosevelt was viewed as a success. The Gipper generation is conservative for the same reason with regard to Reagan. Conversely, the younger Bush is mostly viewed as a failure, and as such, most young people revolted.

Obama's presidency, meanwhile, is only seen as a moderate success – as illustrated by a rather close re-election margin in the popular vote. Given past history, it's expected to be seen as somewhere between good and average, as far as presidencies go. We would expect, therefore, that people who come of age during this presidency to be about as Democratic as the nation, or slightly more so.

And that's exactly what seems to be happening.

Indeed, the generation of the next few years isn't likely to be either conservative or overwhelmingly liberal; it's probably going to be moderate. The UCLA survey found that the fastest growing group are people who describe themselves as "middle of the road". On social issues, like gay marriage, they lean lean to left; on fiscal issues, like healthcare, they lean more to the right than the majority of current 18-29 year-olds.

Overall, I doubt we're looking at a pipeline of new liberals. Far more than most young voters today, the next generation is likely to be up for grabs.

This is why relying on age demographics to magically change everything is a foolish mistake. As Perlstein reminds us in The Invisible Bridge, everyone assumed in the 1970s that the "Now generation" was destined to drag the Democratic Party to the left. One could say that in terms of the culture war that did happen at least to some extent. But on matters of war and peace and economic ideology I think it's fair to ask how that assumption has worked out for us.

See no sugar

by Gaius Publius

Fans of Hullabaloo know that healthy eating is all the rage around here. We're especially no fan of sugar, the devil's sweetener — though personally I'd send "modified food starch" and all its cousins to an even lower ring of the Inverse Paradise. But that's me; I'm from a corn state.

It seems John Oliver, the best political comedian on television, agrees. Here's Oliver on sugar, a delightful and educational watch. Enjoy:

Why is sugar profitable?
"Sugar activates the brain in a special way. It's very reminiscent of drugs like ... cocaine."
Sounds tempting, if you're a predatory food-providing sort. So how prevalent is sugar?
"We have no idea how prevalent sugar is in everything we eat. Look at Clamato juice, the original tomato cocktail ... with clam. One serving has 11 grams of sugar in it. So they clearly thought, 'Look, let's improve the taste by adding sugar,' instead of thinking, 'Let's improve the taste by removing the clam.'"
Be sure to notice what happens to the over-sugared rat at 3:25 in the clip. The effects of a "North American diet"? You decide.

By the way, if you're curious why sugar buys so much sweetened legislation in Congress, look no further than our own Debbie Wasserman Schultz. Do click; it's a fun bipartisan read.