HOME



Digby's Hullabaloo
2801 Ocean Park Blvd.
Box 157
Santa Monica, Ca 90405



Facebook: Digby Parton

Twitter:
@digby56
@Gaius_Publius
@BloggersRUs (Tom Sullivan)
@spockosbrain



emails:
Digby:
thedigbyblog at gmail
Dennis:
satniteflix at gmail
Gaius:
publius.gaius at gmail
Tom:
tpostsully at gmail
Spocko:
Spockosbrain at gmail
tristero:
Richardein at me.com








Infomania

Salon
Buzzflash
Mother Jones
Raw Story
Huffington Post
Slate
Crooks and Liars
American Prospect
New Republic


Denofcinema.com: Saturday Night at the Movies by Dennis Hartley review archive

January 2003 February 2003 March 2003 April 2003 May 2003 June 2003 July 2003 August 2003 September 2003 October 2003 November 2003 December 2003 January 2004 February 2004 March 2004 April 2004 May 2004 June 2004 July 2004 August 2004 September 2004 October 2004 November 2004 December 2004 January 2005 February 2005 March 2005 April 2005 May 2005 June 2005 July 2005 August 2005 September 2005 October 2005 November 2005 December 2005 January 2006 February 2006 March 2006 April 2006 May 2006 June 2006 July 2006 August 2006 September 2006 October 2006 November 2006 December 2006 January 2007 February 2007 March 2007 April 2007 May 2007 June 2007 July 2007 August 2007 September 2007 October 2007 November 2007 December 2007 January 2008 February 2008 March 2008 April 2008 May 2008 June 2008 July 2008 August 2008 September 2008 October 2008 November 2008 December 2008 January 2009 February 2009 March 2009 April 2009 May 2009 June 2009 July 2009 August 2009 September 2009 October 2009 November 2009 December 2009 January 2010 February 2010 March 2010 April 2010 May 2010 June 2010 July 2010 August 2010 September 2010 October 2010 November 2010 December 2010 January 2011 February 2011 March 2011 April 2011 May 2011 June 2011 July 2011 August 2011 September 2011 October 2011 November 2011 December 2011 January 2012 February 2012 March 2012 April 2012 May 2012 June 2012 July 2012 August 2012 September 2012 October 2012 November 2012 December 2012 January 2013 February 2013 March 2013 April 2013 May 2013 June 2013 July 2013 August 2013 September 2013 October 2013 November 2013 December 2013 January 2014 February 2014 March 2014 April 2014 May 2014 June 2014 July 2014 August 2014 September 2014 October 2014 November 2014 December 2014 January 2015 February 2015 March 2015 April 2015 May 2015 June 2015 July 2015 August 2015 September 2015 October 2015 November 2015 December 2015 January 2016 February 2016 March 2016 April 2016 May 2016 June 2016 July 2016 August 2016 September 2016 October 2016 November 2016 December 2016 January 2017 February 2017 March 2017 April 2017 May 2017 June 2017 July 2017 August 2017 September 2017 October 2017 November 2017 December 2017 January 2018


 

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?

Hullabaloo


Wednesday, April 13, 2016

 
Ryan isn't running because he isn't that dumb

by digby



















I wrote the following for Salon this morning:


We've been noting for some time the fact that America's sweetheart, Paul Ryan, was unlikely to be the establishment savior everyone wanted him to be. It's understandable that people attached to the various institutions associated with the Republican Party would be desperate for white knight to ride in and rescue the party from what is shaping up to be a nuclear meltdown in Cleveland this summer but it's not going to happen.Yesterday, Ryan crushed their forlorn hopes in no uncertain terms:

We have too much work to do in the House to allow this speculation to swirl or have my motivations questioned. Let me be clear: I do not want, nor will I accept, the Republican nomination.So let me speak directly to the delegates on this: If no candidate has a majority on the first ballot, I believe you should only choose a person who actually participated in the primary. Count me out. I simply believe that if you want to be the nominee — to be the president — you should actually run for it. I chose not to. Therefore, I should not be considered. Period.

That's about as close to Shermanesque as you can get without burning down Atlanta.

When Mitt Romney made his famous speech denouncing Trump there was a little boomlet in the media that had everyone thinking he might be the elder statesman who could step into the breach and save the party from itself. His gambit to stop Trump by any means necessary was seen as a self-serving way of getting himself back into the game.  Unfortunately, polling shows that he's loathed by Republican voters who are in no mood for establishment losers sweeping in and telling them what to do. His favorability is worse than Trump's: 23% favorable, 65% unfavorable.

Romney's running mate Ryan sees this and is too smart to jump into this 2016 circus sideshow, no matter how much the party wants him to do it. As Steve Kornacki astutely observed on MSNBC yesterday:
I think you can make a pretty strong case that this convention the delegates who will get the ultimate say over everything at this convention are going to be anti-establishment delegates. You talk about Paul Ryan you talk about any other candidate who might come into the picture if this thing looks like chaos, you don't have a lot of consensus between the Trump people and the Cruz people right now on much but you put a name like that out there I think you would very well have consensus not to go down that road. This would not be a convention that would turn to somebody from the establishment.
Nonetheless, Ryan's the go-to dreamboat to whom they turn these days whenever the peasants start to revolt. This is likely because the press labors under the illusion that he's tremendously popular with the base and that gives the establishment hope for positive coverage and a shot at winning. During the long embarrassing chase for a speaker to replace Boehner after the entire House caucus nearly imploded (an early harbinger of what's to come?) the media treated him as more of a religious figure than a politician and it finally forced the Freedom Caucus into reluctantly accepting his leadership. Lucky for him, the presidential race overshadowed what is seen by conservative movement stalwarts as Ryan's immediate sell-out --- the passage of the Omnibus budget bill which funded the government through the end of this year.

Here's Laura Ingraham's assessment of his leadership after that passed:

Now we know why they were so desperate to get House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis., in there. He would carry forward the Boehner-Pelosi deal to increase spending by $66 billion and demand GOP fealty. Remember all our friends at National Review who urged the party to come together to support Ryan as speaker? Did they believe he’d greenlight the full funding of Planned Parenthood, executive amnesty, sanctuary cities and refugee resettlement? Did other pro-Ryan conservatives expect this? How is this conservative?
Speaker Ryan now has to be regarded as a declared enemy of the Base. 
Mark Levin tweeted:




This was the front page of the Drudge Report last December 17th.


The savior's alleged capitulation on the omnibus bill is only one of the apostasies for which he's been condemned. He is also on record being for comprehensive immigration reform and for the Trans Pacific Trade Deal.  He has said publicly, that we must leave the “gates open to the people who are coming in pursuit of their version of the American dream.” America, Ryan said, “is more than our borders.” Imagine the reaction of Trump and Cruz delegates at the convention, to hearing those words. You can bet that talk radio and surrogates would be blaring it all over Cleveland and Roger Stone would be slipping little oppo folders under their hotel doors. After this campaign, Ryan might as well have been caught spitting on Ronald Reagan's grave.

The only member of the establishment who seems to know this, however, is Ryan himself. He's actually been making these Shermanesque statements for months, ever since the terrifying prospect of a Trump or Cruz nomination began to sink in and the party poohbahs and the press began to game out various scenarios to deny the inevitable embarrassment of either one of them at the top of the ticket. But everyone seemed to think he was playing coy. (And considering his Hamlet act over the speakership last fall, it's not completely surprising.) People also noticed him doing some things that lead one to think he's reaching for higher office, such as producing some glossy Speaker videos promoting his agenda and giving inspirational speeches in formal settings. It turns out that the video productions were a holdover from Boehner's reign and the speeches are part of something Ryan promised to do when he took the job. He meant it when he said he didn't want to be president.

It's a testament to his star power that even with his Sherman statement yesterday members of the both the left and the right simply refused to accept it:

From the left:


From the right:

Rick Lazio on MSNBC: Paul Ryan is the consensus alternative... I believe he really does not want to be a candidate. And it surely complicates his role as chairman of the convention and as speaker of the house. So I think he really does not want to do it . But in a setting where you have almost a crisis and a decision that has to be made I'm not sure they wouldn't revisit that issue.

The dream will never die.

None of this is to say that Ryan isn't running for president. He almost certainly is saving himself for a future election. He claims to be putting together a policy agenda for the party and that's probably the truth. The party will be deeply damaged by this campaign regardless of who gets the nomination and out of the ashes once again the establishment will turn its lonely eyes to Paul Ryan. When the time comes he will be ready.



.