As of Tuesday, 538 just changed her race rating from "toss up" to "leans D." This is very possible.
Bottom Line: IF Kara can continue to get her message out, she will win this one.
We need your help-- whether you're a Green Day fan or not-- although, I should mention that Christmas is coming up and what a great present this plaque would make!
You can follow Kara Eastman for NE-02
on Twitter, and volunteer to help phone bank/door-knock/postcard/host an event for her campaign
here.