Watch your back, Andy Beshear
by Tom Sullivan
The week's election tumult is not over yet. There is more to come in Louisiana and for Kentucky's presumptive Gov.-elect, Democrat Andy Beshear.
Aaron Rupar of Vox early this morning posted this from Donald (President of the United States) Trump's Louisiana rally Wednesday night. He appeared in advance of Saturday's gubernatorial runoff between Republican Eddie Rispone, a Baton Rouge businessman, and John Bel Edwards, Democratic the incumbent. The two were the top candidates in the state's Oct. 12 "jungle primary."
Does this seem like a person who should be in a position of power to you? pic.twitter.com/afLOktYWo8— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) November 7, 2019
Across the highest-profile races, Democrats benefited from two trends favoring them in metro areas: high turnout in urban cores that have long been the party’s strongholds, and improved performance in white-collar suburban areas that previously leaned Republican.That is a vast pool of nonvoters Democrats are also targeting for 2020 turnout efforts. But Trump's strategy — or should we say affinity for? — mobilizing around white identity politics as a response to the nation's increasingly diverse population has limits both demographic and geographic. There are only so many rural white voters. They live in hard-to-reach places. The more rural states are, the more likely statewide races hinge on turnout in populations centers where Trump and his MAGA cult are losing ground.
“When Trump was elected, there was an initial rejection of him in the suburbs,” says Jesse Ferguson, a Virginia-based Democratic strategist. “We are now seeing a full-on realignment.”
In that way, the GOP’s losses again raised the stakes for Republicans heading into 2020. In both message and agenda, Trump has reoriented the Republican Party toward the priorities and grievances of non-college-educated, evangelical, and nonurban white voters. His campaign has already signaled that it will focus its 2020 efforts primarily on turning out more working-class and rural white voters who did not participate in 2016.
This is the congressional map that North Carolina Republicans just saved ahead of wrapping up for the day. I can tell just from looking at it that the Sandhills gets completely cracked & it will likely mean an 8-5 GOP majority delegation instead of 7-6 R or 7-6 D #NCGA #NCpol pic.twitter.com/Hx2clWne2y— Stephen Wolf (@PoliticsWolf) November 6, 2019